How We Think

Sample Underwriting Walkthroughs.

We're a new firm — we don't have closed deals to show yet. Instead, here are three illustrative teardowns, modeled on real listings, that demonstrate exactly how we evaluate a property: pass, watch, or buy, with full numbers and reasoning.

Sample: Pass

4BR Mountain-View Cabin

Pigeon Forge, TN · 4BR / 3.5BA · 2,400 sqft

"Looks great on paper. Doesn't pencil at this price."

Deal Inputs

List Price$685,000
Renovation Budget$45,000
Furnishings$55,000
All-In Basis$795,000
Down Payment (20%)$137,000
Cash Required (incl. reserves)$245,000

Underwriting (Year 1)

Projected ADR$365

Comp set median; we underwrite to 90% of this.

Projected Occupancy62%

Conservative vs. 68% comp avg.

Gross Revenue (Yr 1)$74,400
Operating Expenses$28,200

38% of gross — STR tax, cleaning, utilities, insurance, PM tech.

Net Operating Income$46,200
Debt Service (7.25%)$44,820
Cash Flow$1,380

0.6% cash-on-cash. Effectively zero.

What We Liked

  • +Strong view corridor, walk to attractions
  • +Recently updated kitchen & primary bath
  • +Listed rental history shows $58K gross — real, not projected

What Concerned Us

  • Seller pricing 18% above comparable sold properties from Q3 2025
  • HOA at $4,200/yr with rumored special assessment for road maintenance
  • Comp set ADR has compressed 6% over trailing 12 months
  • At 7.25% debt, every 5% ADR miss turns this negative

Our Call

If the seller drops to $585K we run it again. At list, we'd need either rates back below 6.5% or a +15% ADR thesis we can't honestly defend. We pass and tell the broker exactly why.

Methodology

The Filters We Run Every Deal Through.

01

Comp Set Reality

We underwrite to 90% of comp ADR. If the seller's projection assumes top-decile performance Day 1, that's a flag.

02

Insurance First

Insurance is now the #1 swing variable in coastal and mountain markets. We get a real quote before we get serious.

03

Cash Buffer

Every deal must hold 6 months of debt service in reserve. No exceptions, regardless of cash-flow projections.

04

Exit Math

We model a 5-year sale at flat appreciation. If the numbers only work with 4%+ annual appreciation, we pass.

Our First Deals

Founding Partners See Live Underwriting First.

We're sourcing our first deals now. The first three investor partners receive preferred Founding Partner terms — and see every property memo before it's offered more broadly.