Research

Operator-Level Market Reports.

We underwrite hundreds of properties a year. These are the patterns we see — published quarterly, written by the team actually buying in these markets.

Q1 2026 · Sevier County, TN

Smoky Mountains

Available
$342
Median ADR (4BR)
71%
Top-quartile Occupancy
$184
Avg. RevPAR
~14,200
Active Listings
  • ·Inventory up 8.2% YoY; pricing power compressing in sub-3BR cabins
  • ·Premium 4BR+ cabins with mountain views and hot tubs holding ADR
  • ·Best-in-class operators clearing 70%+ occupancy at $385 ADR
Our TakeWe are passing on most sub-3BR new builds in this market. The ones we like are 4BR+ with a defensible amenity (theater room, indoor pool, panoramic deck) within 15 minutes of the parkway.

Q1 2026 · Walton County, FL

30A / Gulf Coast

Available
$612
Median ADR (4BR S of 30A)
62%
Avg. Occupancy
$11–18K
Insurance / $1M coverage
~6,800
Active Listings
  • ·Insurance costs up 22% YoY — single biggest underwriting variable
  • ·Gulf-front and 1st-tier south-of-30A still command premium
  • ·Shoulder season (Oct/Nov) softening; spring break and summer firm
Our TakeWe are only writing offers south of 30A or with a true Gulf view. Insurance pre-quote is now step one of underwriting — not step three.

Q1 2026 · McCurtain County, OK

Broken Bow

Available
$278
Median ADR (3BR)
64%
Top-quartile Occupancy
$142
Avg. RevPAR
~2,400
Active Listings
  • ·Inventory growth has slowed materially — first time since 2021
  • ·Top 25% of cabins outperforming median by 2.4x on RevPAR
  • ·Theme cabins (rustic-luxury, modern A-frame) outperforming generic builds
Our TakeThis is our most actionable market right now. Inventory growth is normalizing and the gap between average and great operators is widening — which is exactly the environment where we win.

Q1 2026 · Fredericksburg & Wimberley, TX

Hill Country

Coming Soon

Next report ships in Q2 2026. Request the Hill Country report and we'll send it the day it's published.

What's Inside

Built for Underwriting, Not Marketing.

Comp set analysis

12–24 directly comparable properties with ADR, occupancy, and revenue.

Submarket tiering

Which streets, view types, and amenities are pricing in vs. compressing.

Cost structure

Real numbers on insurance, taxes, cleaning, utilities, and management.

Our buy/pass list

Specific property profiles we'd write offers on and ones we'd skip.

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